rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida
and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
105 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018
A broad surface low centered near the east coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico is producing widespread, but disorganized,
shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions
are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a
subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form during
the weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico.
The signed version of this message is posted on my public keybase folder here: https://uberactivist.keybase.pub/mastodon_proof.txt
They paired this chance chart with the watch graphic.
From the watch message:
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely